Simple Forex Trading Strategy

Simple Forex Trading Strategy

In the end, you will usually find one, two, or three trading strategies that perfectly match your own ideas. One of these trading strategies could be the Fibonacci strategy. However, every trader is different and there are no guaranteed returns with a Fibonacci strategy.

Do you remember when we said that Fibonacci ratios also refer to human psychology? The arcs appear as half circles under your trend, which are the levels of the arc’s distance from the top of the trend with 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, and 61.8% respectively. I saved this one for last because it’s my favorite go-to with Fibonacci. Volume is honestly the one technical indicator even fundamentalist are aware of. In this Fibonacci trading system, we will try to match bounces of the price with overbought/oversold signals of the stochastic.


The wide-ranging presence of these ratios in the Universe also extends to the financial markets. It’s just one reason why many traders use a Fibonacci Forex trading strategy to identify turning points in the market, and why you should consider it too. In this online trading education guide segment, we will overview how to use Fibonacci retracement levels effectively in your Forex trading strategy. However, as retracements can be breached several times before settling and reversing, it can be difficult to find entry points. This is why as a trading strategy, other indicators, such as candle patterns and other technical analysis can help establish entry points to trades. Therefore, the Fibonacci retracement level helps to find possible support and resistance levels to enter a trade end. On the other hand, Fibonacci extension levels indicate how far the price may go before making any reversal.

Fibonacci Arcs are used to analyze the speed and strength of reversals or corrective movements. To install arcs on your chart you measure the bottom and the top of the trend with the arcs tool. This happens in the red circle on the chart and we exit our long position. If the price starts trending in our favor, we stay in the market if the alligator is “eating” and its lines are far from each other. When the alligator lines overlap, the alligator falls asleep and we exit our position. The two green circles on the chart highlight the moments when the price bounces from the 23.6% and 38.2% Fibonacci levels.

In a 24/7 Market, where one Market Maker may be quoting prices across hundreds of assets, it’s virtually impossible for them to manage billions of dollars worth of business manually. Because we are trading against the bots, in most cases we can crack the logic behind those bots, and create trading strategies around them & make some fantastic profits from it. Before moving to the trading strategy, we will see some basics about the calculator. The “Fibonacci Fan” produces 3 lines set at the main Fibonacci retracement numbers, 38.2%, 50.0%, and 61.8%.More often than not the main support line on the “Fibonacci Fan” is the 61.8%.

Step #5: Wait For The Price Action To Push Down And Pull Back Make Entry After Pull

Traders can predict the movement of a currency pair for the possible target area by using the Fibonacci numbers. When the price breaks the 38.2% line we can assume that it`s at least going to the 61.8% line.

So basically, a Fibonacci number sequence can be used to help forecast the likely depth of a counter-trend retracement, hinting where a correction may end and the dominant trend resume. The figure below gives us an example of GBPUSD making a bottom and swinging back. Note also the multiple entry points from the same Fibonacci retracement levels. We notice here that there are high potential entry points at 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%. All of these could have been entry points with high-profit potentials.

Yet for the purpose of trading forex, it’s not the numbers themselves that we’re interested in, but the difference between them. Now Exchange / Brokers are supposed to do their own due diligence before they allow an asset to be listed with them in order to be traded. Once an Asset is listed or traded, a specific set of Market Makers starts providing two-way quotes (buy essentially buying & selling all the time). The Market Makers make their money out of the BID / ASK Spreads as well as by taking positions periodically and offloading those positions periodically. The Fibonacci indicator is free in most of the trading platforms, which makes it easy to use.

Drawing Fibonacci Retracement Levels In An Uptrend

As with any tool we use though, it is very important to understand what it is, what it does, and how to use it in trades before ever adding it to your trading strategy. Do you know Fibonacci is everywhere, even in the financial market? How can you increase the accuracy of your forex market analysis using a Fibonacci trading strategy? In the beginners’ guide to Fibonacci, we will see what Fibonacci is along with its use in the Forex market with who you can trade in the forex market using Fibonacci tools.

A mix of Fibonacci extension tools and a consistent support/resistance strategy can help traders elevate their trading consistency. Fibonacci Retracement Levels are used in strategies for connecting two distant or close points of price in order to grasp the potential retracements of the price.

Fibonacci Forex Trading Strategies In Action

A break of both the resistance and support levels will be the trigger I am looking for a trade setup. In both scenarios, it is useful to wait for a candlestick pattern to confirm that the price is bouncing at the resistance spot or pushing through the support level. This helpful tactic has a high rate of ensuring a decent entry at the right time.

  • Fibonacci time ratios explain how long a swing high swing low might take in time before the next swing high swing low starts.
  • If your day trading strategy provides a short-sellsignal in that price region, the Fibonacci level helps confirm the signal.
  • The likelihood of a reversal increases if there is a confluence of technical signals when the price reaches a Fibonacci level.
  • Nevertheless, it functions better when used to trade on the daily chart.
  • As For the stoploss order , we will be placing it slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci level as shown above.
  • Therefore, the Fibonacci retracement level helps to find possible support and resistance levels to enter a trade end.

There is a reason the above percentages are the ones traders look for, they happen all the time. Reversal traders may also use the 161.8% level to enter into counter-trend trades but this is more suited to advanced traders. As we cover this chart of NZDUSD, consider we’ve been in a strong down trend combined with momentum into lows and price has collapsed into a previous support zone. Price action shows that the bears were losing steam and consideration for a long was made after price began to rally right after breaking lows. In fact, price can still breach the pivot by “a few pips” and still be a valid setup.

Learn To Trade Stocks, Futures, And Etfs Risk

Trades that were opened at a too low and at a too high values of ADX have appeared to bring more losses when trading “Fractal Fibonacci Retracement” trading strategy during 2009 – 2020. At the beginning of the 13th century, the most important mathematician of the Middle Ages, Leonardo da Pisa, described the Fibonacci numbers. The name of the numbers is based on the nickname of Leonardo da Pisas — Fibonacci. Now the Fibonacci numbers aren’t only represented in nature, but can also be used as a trading strategy on the stock exchange. Extensions continue past the 100% mark and indicate possible exits in line with the trend. For the purposes of using Fibonacci numbers for day trading forex, the key extension points consist of 61.8%, 261.8% and 423.6%.

A great thing about Fib levels is it will ensure you are zoning in on the chart and using small sections to look for trading setups. Support and resistance levels combined with a 38.2% or 61.8% Fib level plus confirming price action is a good technical analysis approach. Trading fibonacci retracement levels such as 61.8% without confluence is a mistake. Even looking for price action to confirm a change in the short term trend direction makes sense. You see, there are many people who believe that the fibonacci tool is really good for trading, but then there are traders who believe that fibonacci levels are just some useless lines on a chart. Now remember, almost 90 percent of retail traders lose money in trading. So instead of believing other people, let’s look at the real data and understand how fibonacci actually works.

Typically, traders would look at other technical tools to further confirm the possibility of a correction lower. This will be evident in the next section as we go through a Forex Fibonacci trading strategy. Fibonacci retracement levels are horizontal lines that indicate where support and resistance are likely to occur. The percentage is how much of a prior move the price has retraced. The Fibonacci retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 61.8%, and 78.6%.